Quantifying the health impacts of air pollution under a changing climate—a review of approaches and methodology
Identifieur interne : 000232 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000231; suivant : 000233Quantifying the health impacts of air pollution under a changing climate—a review of approaches and methodology
Auteurs : Sarunya Sujaritpong ; Keith Dear ; Martin Cope ; Sean Walsh ; Tord KjellstromSource :
- International Journal of Biometeorology [ 0020-7128 ] ; 2013.
Abstract
Climate change has been predicted to affect future air quality, with inevitable consequences for health. Quantifying the health effects of air pollution under a changing climate is crucial to provide evidence for actions to safeguard future populations. In this paper, we review published methods for quantifying health impacts to identify optimal approaches and ways in which existing challenges facing this line of research can be addressed. Most studies have employed a simplified methodology, while only a few have reported sensitivity analyses to assess sources of uncertainty. The limited investigations that do exist suggest that examining the health risk estimates should particularly take into account the uncertainty associated with future air pollution emissions scenarios, concentration-response functions, and future population growth and age structures. Knowledge gaps identified for future research include future health impacts from extreme air pollution events, interactions between temperature and air pollution effects on public health under a changing climate, and how population adaptation and behavioural changes in a warmer climate may modify exposure to air pollution and health consequences.
The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00484-012-0625-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Url:
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-012-0625-8
PubMed: 23354423
PubMed Central: 3936128
Affiliations:
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sortKey="Sujaritpong, Sarunya" sort="Sujaritpong, Sarunya" uniqKey="Sujaritpong S" first="Sarunya" last="Sujaritpong">Sarunya Sujaritpong</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Canberra, ACT Australia</nlm:aff><wicri:noCountry code="subfield">ACT Australia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Dear, Keith" sort="Dear, Keith" uniqKey="Dear K" first="Keith" last="Dear">Keith Dear</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Canberra, ACT Australia</nlm:aff><wicri:noCountry code="subfield">ACT Australia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Cope, Martin" sort="Cope, Martin" uniqKey="Cope M" first="Martin" last="Cope">Martin Cope</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff2">Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Melbourne, Victoria Australia</nlm:aff><wicri:noCountry code="subfield">Victoria Australia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Walsh, Sean" sort="Walsh, Sean" uniqKey="Walsh S" first="Sean" last="Walsh">Sean Walsh</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff3">EPA Victoria, Melbourne, Victoria Australia</nlm:aff><wicri:noCountry code="subfield">Victoria Australia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Kjellstrom, Tord" sort="Kjellstrom, Tord" uniqKey="Kjellstrom T" first="Tord" last="Kjellstrom">Tord Kjellstrom</name><affiliation><nlm:aff id="Aff1">National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Canberra, ACT Australia</nlm:aff><wicri:noCountry code="subfield">ACT Australia</wicri:noCountry></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">International Journal of Biometeorology</title><idno type="ISSN">0020-7128</idno><idno type="e-ISSN">1432-1254</idno><imprint><date when="2013">2013</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Climate change has been predicted to affect future air quality, with inevitable consequences for health. Quantifying the health effects of air pollution under a changing climate is crucial to provide evidence for actions to safeguard future populations. In this paper, we review published methods for quantifying health impacts to identify optimal approaches and ways in which existing challenges facing this line of research can be addressed. Most studies have employed a simplified methodology, while only a few have reported sensitivity analyses to assess sources of uncertainty. The limited investigations that do exist suggest that examining the health risk estimates should particularly take into account the uncertainty associated with future air pollution emissions scenarios, concentration-response functions, and future population growth and age structures. Knowledge gaps identified for future research include future health impacts from extreme air pollution events, interactions between temperature and air pollution effects on public health under a changing climate, and how population adaptation and behavioural changes in a warmer climate may modify exposure to air pollution and health consequences.</p><sec><title>Electronic supplementary material</title><p>The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00484-012-0625-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.</p></sec></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Aldersley, A" uniqKey="Aldersley A">A Aldersley</name></author><author><name sortKey="Murray, Sj" uniqKey="Murray S">SJ Murray</name></author><author><name sortKey="Cornell, Se" uniqKey="Cornell S">SE Cornell</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name 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Wilbanks</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Qian, Z" uniqKey="Qian Z">Z Qian</name></author><author><name sortKey="He, Q" uniqKey="He Q">Q He</name></author><author><name sortKey="Lin, Hm" uniqKey="Lin H">HM Lin</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kong, L" uniqKey="Kong L">L Kong</name></author><author><name sortKey="Bentley, Cm" uniqKey="Bentley C">CM Bentley</name></author><author><name sortKey="Liu, W" uniqKey="Liu W">W Liu</name></author><author><name sortKey="Zhou, D" uniqKey="Zhou D">D Zhou</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Ren, C" uniqKey="Ren C">C Ren</name></author><author><name sortKey="O Eill, Ms" uniqKey="O Eill M">MS O’Neill</name></author><author><name sortKey="Park, Sk" uniqKey="Park S">SK Park</name></author><author><name sortKey="Sparrow, D" uniqKey="Sparrow D">D 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Webster</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Sheffield, Pe" uniqKey="Sheffield P">PE Sheffield</name></author><author><name sortKey="Knowlton, K" uniqKey="Knowlton K">K Knowlton</name></author><author><name sortKey="Carr, Jl" uniqKey="Carr J">JL Carr</name></author><author><name sortKey="Kinney, Pl" uniqKey="Kinney P">PL Kinney</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Stylianou, M" uniqKey="Stylianou M">M Stylianou</name></author><author><name sortKey="Nicolich, Mj" uniqKey="Nicolich M">MJ Nicolich</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Tagaris, E" uniqKey="Tagaris E">E Tagaris</name></author><author><name sortKey="Liao, K J" uniqKey="Liao K">K-J Liao</name></author><author><name sortKey="Delucia, Aj" uniqKey="Delucia A">AJ Delucia</name></author><author><name sortKey="Deck, L" uniqKey="Deck L">L Deck</name></author><author><name sortKey="Amar, P" uniqKey="Amar P">P Amar</name></author><author><name sortKey="Russel, Ag" uniqKey="Russel A">AG Russel</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct><analytic><author><name sortKey="Tong, S" uniqKey="Tong S">S Tong</name></author><author><name sortKey="Ren, C" uniqKey="Ren C">C Ren</name></author><author><name sortKey="Becker, N" uniqKey="Becker N">N Becker</name></author></analytic></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><affiliations><list></list><tree><noCountry><name sortKey="Cope, Martin" sort="Cope, Martin" uniqKey="Cope M" first="Martin" last="Cope">Martin Cope</name><name sortKey="Dear, Keith" sort="Dear, Keith" uniqKey="Dear K" first="Keith" last="Dear">Keith Dear</name><name sortKey="Kjellstrom, Tord" sort="Kjellstrom, Tord" uniqKey="Kjellstrom T" first="Tord" last="Kjellstrom">Tord Kjellstrom</name><name sortKey="Sujaritpong, Sarunya" sort="Sujaritpong, Sarunya" uniqKey="Sujaritpong S" first="Sarunya" last="Sujaritpong">Sarunya Sujaritpong</name><name sortKey="Walsh, Sean" sort="Walsh, Sean" uniqKey="Walsh S" first="Sean" last="Walsh">Sean Walsh</name></noCountry></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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